Systems • Failure • The Future
The world is more fragile than it looks.
Independent analysis of the risks, dependencies, and disruptions shaping our future.
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U.S. Energy Stress
—
Rating not yet assigned
Thresholds are being tested against history before ratings go live.
View details →
U.S. Drought Extent
23.0%
of the contiguous U.S. in severe drought or worse (D2–D4)
−8.5 percentage points over four weeks
Conditions through November 3, 2026View details →
Global Food Prices
133.9
FAO Food Price Index (2014–2016 = 100)
+5.9% year over year · down from September
October 2026View details →
Global Supply-Chain Pressure
+1.26
standard deviations above the historical average
Down from +1.36 in September
October 2026View details →
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